Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.247383 0.286372 0.330918 0.385882 0.452293 0.530467 0.630224
2025-08-31 0.182718 0.230883 0.292195 0.377229 0.494132 0.652259 0.887720
2025-09-07 0.151848 0.204409 0.276851 0.386682 0.553917 0.807612 1.239475
2025-09-14 0.127037 0.179162 0.255392 0.379134 0.583385 0.923663 1.572887
2025-09-21 0.111712 0.163892 0.244182 0.382550 0.628103 1.074206 2.023808
2025-09-28 0.099115 0.150279 0.232450 0.381521 0.663432 1.217155 2.522668
2025-10-05 0.091236 0.142698 0.228782 0.392914 0.723419 1.425990 3.269856
2025-10-12 0.084217 0.135381 0.224126 0.401110 0.778729 1.643687 4.164745
2025-10-19 0.078096 0.128682 0.219360 0.407844 0.832430 1.877251 5.257060
2025-10-26 0.073533 0.124083 0.217637 0.420183 0.901922 2.177721 6.787380
2025-11-02 0.068592 0.118146 0.212431 0.423999 0.952218 2.448160 8.449535
2025-11-09 0.063894 0.112094 0.206120 0.424099 0.993295 2.710634 10.341324
2025-11-16 0.059305 0.105845 0.198788 0.421033 1.027004 2.972663 12.563842
2025-11-23 0.054863 0.099434 0.190343 0.413927 1.048295 3.207585 14.979943
2025-11-30 0.052389 0.096691 0.189344 0.425045 1.126971 3.695970 19.645139
2025-12-07 0.048700 0.091073 0.181325 0.416693 1.143392 3.953954 23.288348
2025-12-14 0.046245 0.087785 0.178123 0.420545 1.201180 4.424813 29.589058
2025-12-21 0.043691 0.084034 0.173398 0.419397 1.242206 4.851376 36.652996
2025-12-28 0.042211 0.082459 0.173578 0.432178 1.337921 5.619497 49.755626
2026-01-04 0.040626 0.080494 0.172574 0.441379 1.424442 6.417480 66.715671
2026-01-11 0.039067 0.078438 0.171098 0.448941 1.508220 7.282487 89.435513
2026-01-18 0.037925 0.077223 0.171584 0.462805 1.624623 8.478076 126.797598
2026-01-25 0.036407 0.074998 0.169217 0.467095 1.702089 9.503819 170.396360